Inter-tržní přístup k analýze komoditních, akciových, dluhopisových a měnových trhů USA

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dc.contributor.author Vychytilová, Jana
dc.date.accessioned 2015-02-13T13:57:55Z
dc.date.available 2015-02-13T13:57:55Z
dc.date.issued 2014
dc.identifier.issn 1211-555X (Print)
dc.identifier.issn 1804-8048 (Online)
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10195/58677
dc.format p. 136-147 eng
dc.language.iso cze
dc.publisher Univerzita Pardubice
dc.relation.ispartof Scientific papers of the University of Pardubice. Series D, Faculty of Economics and Administration. 32 (3/2014) eng
dc.rights open access eng
dc.subject stock eng
dc.subject bond eng
dc.subject commodity eng
dc.subject correlation eng
dc.subject intermarket eng
dc.title Inter-tržní přístup k analýze komoditních, akciových, dluhopisových a měnových trhů USA cze
dc.title.alternative The intermarket approach to analyzing the U. S. commodity, stock, bond and currency markets eng
dc.type Article
dc.description.abstract-translated The paper examines the basic intermarket model of the four traditional capital asset classes. The model is created by using four most widely followed global market indices S&P 500, R/J CRB, 30-Year US Treasury Bond Price and Dollar Index. Relative performances of those leading global benchmarks are calculated from monthly adjusted close prices and used in product momentum correlations to reflect the statistical significance of the observed empirical results. Dividend yields are not considered in calculations. The selected fifteen year time period allow the user to investigate performances of the four different capital markets during the different economic phases including economic prosperity, economic slowdown or economic turndown phase and indicate how they interrelate. The research identified statistically significant positive correlation between indexes S&P 500 and US Dollar Index in the Faze2, statistically significant negative correlation between indexes 30-Year US Treasury Bond Price and R/JCRB during the Faze4 and finally statistically significant negative correlation between indexes R/J CRB and US Dollar Index during the Faze4 at the 95,0 % confidence level. In other cases and fazes statistically significant non-zero correlations were detected. The research work results are beneficial for the areas of sector rotation, tactical asset allocation and carry trade. eng
dc.peerreviewed yes eng
dc.publicationstatus published eng
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-84929470634


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