Predikce cen zemního plynu v závislosti na jeho zásobách
ČlánekOtevřený přístuppeer-reviewedpublishedDatum publikování
2013
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Název časopisu
Název svazku
Vydavatel
Univerzita Pardubice
Abstrakt
Natural gas as well as oil is the key energy resources in the world. This fuel is one of the exhaustible and non-renewable energy sources. The fact is that someday it will come to its exhaustion. Declining offer probably will cause the increasing gas prices. The aim of this paper is to predict possible further development of the price of natural gas according to its historical development stocks. The partial aim is to determine the degree of dependence of natural gas prices on its stocks. Firstly, the analyzed gas extraction by using the SWOT analysis and the analysis of supply and demand for gas are realized. On the supply side, the states with the largest reserves of natural gas are defined. On the demand side, the biggest consumers of natural gas are identified. The dependence between two quantitative variables (the average price of natural gas and proven reserves of gas in each year since 1984) is further investigated by using correlation analysis. The price determined on the basis of historical development of the above variables is predicted by using polynomials. In conclusion, the comparison of results with analyzes of renowned institutions is accomplished.
Rozsah stran
p. 129-139
ISSN
1211-555X (Print)
1804-8048 (Online)
1804-8048 (Online)
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Projekt
Zdrojový dokument
Scientific papers of the University of Pardubice.
Series D, Faculty of Economics and Administration.
26 (1/2013)
Vydavatelská verze
Přístup k e-verzi
open access
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ISBN
Studijní obor
Studijní program
Signatura tištěné verze
47940-26
Umístění tištěné verze
Univerzitní knihovna (studovna)
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Klíčová slova
gas, consumption, supply, price, economic