Modeling of Economic Processes Using ARIMA Models

Abstract

The theoretical part of this thesis titled "Modeling of Economic Processes Using ARIMA Models" focuses on the process of predicting and analyzing future values of an economy using various types of economic models. This part includes a brief introduction to the economics, modeling process and information on various types of models that can be used. Examples of those models: AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, SARIMA, ARIMAX, and SARIMAX models. The practical part includes a case study on applying ARIMA models to Qatar's GDP. The objectives of this case study are to provide, analyze, forecast, process, show results, and give recommendations about Qatar's GDP using ARIMA model processes.